Kyle Edmund (Great Britain, 25) ATP Rank: 62
Andreas Seppi (Italy, 35) ATP Rank: 98
Betting Line: Edmund -220 (-3 -125), Seppi +180 (+3 -105)
Andreas Seppi usually finds himself advancing deeper in tournaments on grass, but the veteran Italian has been efficiency personified this week in New York. In the semifinal, Seppi won 43 percent of return points on Jason Jung’s first serve. Most likely a testament to Jung’s nerves from playing in his first ATP semifinal, but also a testament to Seppi’s ability to eliminate any variety his opponent wanted to employ on serve.
After a brilliant 2018 season, including a semifinal berth at Wimbledon, Kyle Edmund has cooled off significantly. He climbed as high number 14 in the ATP rankings, but has obviously seen his name fall on that list in coordination with his decline in performance. But this week he was at his absolute best. Miomir Kecmanovic had no answers for Edmund’s serve and was only able to force two break point opportunities in the semifinal. Kecmanovic is good – if not great – at absorbing pace and forcing break points in bunches, a testament to how dominant Edmund has been this week.
Andreas Seppi has only been able to conjure a single victory against Edmund, and it came on clay. The Brit has all four wins on faster surfaces. These numbers indicate that Edmund’s serve holds the advantage over Seppi’s return game and court awareness on the hard courts.
Pick: Edmund in 2
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